Accurate Predictions from Messy Data
Custom AI prediction agents trained to predict YOUR targets
Real-world predictions require context
Messy Data
Most relevant signal lives in messy, unstructured data
Uncertainty
Critical variables are unknown
Complexity
One question often leads to another
Many scenarios
Not feasible to analyze every possibility
Messy data → Context-rich predictions
No Curation Required
Tuned to Targets
Calibrated Predictions
End-to-End Prediction Agents
Train prediction agents to predict any outcome
Institutional Investors
Fortune 500
Healthcare
Startups
Tradewinds &
DOD Awardable
DOD Awardable
Try the demo model
Trained on public articles to forecast newsworthy events
Will Iran close the strait of Hormuz in the next 90 days?
Post-election unrest occurs in at least two major Latin American capitals in the next 2 months?
Weekly U.S. jobless claims exceed 300k for two plus consecutive weeks over the next 6 months?
Groundbreaking research. Real‑world results.
Outperform the frontier
Demonstrated superior predictions to frontier models
Most Accurate
Brier Scores (Lower=Better)
Lowest Calibration Error
% ECE (Lower=Better)
Most Profit
Polymarket Simulated Trading
Open AI o3
Gemini Pro 2.5
Grok-4
Claude Opus
Prediction Market Benchmark
