Accurate Predictions from Messy Data

Custom AI prediction agents trained to predict YOUR targets

Real-world predictions require context

Messy Data
Most relevant signal lives in messy, unstructured data
Uncertainty
Critical variables are unknown
Complexity
One question often leads to another
Many scenarios
Not feasible to analyze every possibility

Messy data Context-rich predictions

No Curation Required
Tuned to Targets
Calibrated Predictions

End-to-End Prediction Agents

Train prediction agents to predict any outcome

Trusted by teams building AI

Shore Capital
Swayable
AirHelp
Brunswick Group
Fabletics
InPolicy
Precognition Labs
Caremaze
Takeoff 41
★★★★★

"Super impressed by Lightning Rod. We thought data prep would take weeks. We handed them our internal docs and got back 10,000 high-quality, citable QA pairs in hours—we were fine-tuning the next day."

Joe Phongpreecha
Joe Phongpreecha Co-founder & CEO, Takeoff 41
★★★★★

"10,000 labeled examples that we immediately put to work in our eval pipeline, teleporting us weeks ahead. The quality and thoroughness of the explanation made us highly confident to start using the data."

★★★★★

"Lightning Rod took a messy set of conversational transcripts and turned them into a complete training set ready for fine-tuning. The turnaround was fast enough that we went from idea to deployment in a single sprint. Without this, we would have been stuck in a proof-of-concept loop for months—instead, we got awesome results we could use on day one."

★★★★★

"We have an enormous amount of unstructured data about our portfolio companies, but it wasn't labeled or usable for training. Lightning Rod is the only solution that turns messy sources into high-quality, verified training data—unlocking real AI solutions to make smarter, better decisions."

★★★★★

"We had an excellent experience with Lightning Rod Labs. They delivered thousands of high-confidence Q&A pairs in an incredibly short amount of time—something that would have taken our team weeks to do manually. The cross-checking gave us strong confidence in the accuracy and reliability of the output. I highly recommend them to any team building AI!"

BB Chen
BB Chen Co-founder, CareTie
★★★★★

"We rapidly generated high-quality synthetic datasets to stress-test edge cases and policy variants that were difficult to source organically, significantly improving precision and recall in a fraction of the time."

★★★★★

"Incredibly easy way to generate high-quality datasets from public sources."

★★★★★

"We needed a complex dataset to help us test a hypothesis for a new advisory tool. LightningRod quickly understood our needs and gave us a quality dataset that allowed us to move forward."

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Trained on public articles to forecast newsworthy events
Will Iran close the strait of Hormuz in the next 90 days?
Post-election unrest occurs in at least two major Latin American capitals in the next 2 months?
Weekly U.S. jobless claims exceed 300k for two plus consecutive weeks over the next 6 months?
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Groundbreaking research. Real‑world results.

Outperform the frontier
Demonstrated superior predictions to frontier models

Most Accurate

Brier Scores (Lower=Better)

Lowest Calibration Error

% ECE (Lower=Better)

Most Profit

Polymarket Simulated Trading
Open AI o3
Gemini Pro 2.5
Grok-4
Claude Opus
Prediction Market Benchmark
DoD Awardable
Tradewinds and ERIS awardable
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Groundbreaking research
3 peer-reviewed papers on patent-pending technology

Every decision is a
prediction problem.